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Supply chain design under uncertainty for advanced biofuel production based on bio-oil gasification

机译:不确定性下基于生物油气化的先进生物燃料生产的供应链设计

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摘要

An advanced biofuels supply chain is proposed to reduce biomass transportation costs and take advantage of the economics of scale for a gasification facility. In this supply chain, biomass is converted to bio-oil at widely distributed small-scale fast pyrolysis plants, and after bio-oil gasification, the syngas is upgraded to transportation fuels at a centralized biorefinery. A two-stage stochastic programming is formulated to maximize biofuel producers\u27 annual profit considering uncertainties in the supply chain for this pathway. The first stage makes the capital investment decisions including the locations and capacities of the decentralized fast pyrolysis plants as well as the centralized biorefinery, while the second stage determines the biomass and biofuels flows. A case study based on Iowa in the U.S. illustrates that it is economically feasible to meet desired demand using corn stover as the biomass feedstock. The results show that the locations of fast pyrolysis plants are sensitive to uncertainties while the capacity levels are insensitive. The stochastic model outperforms the deterministic model in the stochastic environment, especially when there is insufficient biomass. Also, farmers\u27 participation can have a significant impact on the profitability and robustness of this supply chain.
机译:提出了一种先进的生物燃料供应链,以减少生物质的运输成本,并利用气化设施的规模经济优势。在该供应链中,生物质在分布广泛的小型快速热解工厂中转化为生物油,生物油气化后,合成气在集中式生物精炼厂升级为运输燃料。考虑到该途径的供应链中的不确定性,制定了两阶段随机规划以最大化生物燃料生产商的年度利润。第一阶段做出资本投资决策,包括分散式快速热解装置的位置和容量以及集中式生物精炼厂,而第二阶段确定生物质和生物燃料的流量。基于美国爱荷华州的案例研究表明,使用玉米秸秆作为生物质原料来满足所需需求在经济上是可行的。结果表明,快速热解装置的位置对不确定性敏感,而容量水平不敏感。在随机环境中,尤其是当生物量不足时,随机模型优于确定性模型。此外,农民的参与可能对该供应链的盈利能力和稳健性产生重大影响。

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  • 作者

    Li, Qi; Hu, Guiping;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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